Time… Is On My Side… Yes It Is

Mick Jagger The Rolling Stones West Financial Services

The Rolling Stones originally released their single “Time Is On My Side” in the U.S. in September 1964. It became their first U.S. top ten hit, peaking at number 6 on the Billboard Hot 100 Chart in December 1964. The Rolling Stones would go on to deliver a total of 23 top ten hits and the band was inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame in 1989. Fun facts – the band released a second version in the U.K. in January 1965, which receives more airplay than the original today. Written by Jerry Ragovoy (under the pseudonym “Stones”) with the only words being “Time is on my side” and “You’ll come runnin’ back,” the song was actually released two times before The Rolling Stones versions. Kai Winding with vocals by Cissy Houston (yes, Whitney’s mother), Dionne Warwick, and Dee Dee Warwick originally released it in October 1963 and then Irma Thomas produced an R&B cover of the song in June 1964. 

What does this have to do with investments or your money you may ask? Plenty. 

The power of compounding returns on investments illustrates that, in fact, time is on our side. Compound returns on an investment refers to the benefit of reinvesting profits earned from an investment in one period to earn more profits in the future. This is a powerful tool for generating long-term wealth.

The concept of compound returns is simple, yet it can be difficult to grasp without a clear example. Suppose you invest $10,000 in a stock that grows at a rate of 10% per year. After the first year, your investment is worth $11,000. If you leave that money invested and it grows at the same rate for the second year, you would earn $1,100 in profits, bringing your total investment value to $12,100. If you continue this process for years, your investment can continue to grow, and the amount of money you earn each year can continue to increase. 

The rate of return and the length of holding time affect compound returns on an investment. The chart below illustrates the impacts that both rate of return and holding time have on a hypothetical $10,000 initial investment. As you can see, expected values are higher for higher rates of return if you hold the length of the investment constant and expected values are higher for longer holding times if you hold the rate of return constant. 

An important thing for investors to remember when considering compound returns on investments is that patience and a long-term perspective are usually rewarded. While it can be tempting to try to time the market or chase short-term gains, the real power of compound returns comes from holding investments for long periods of time and allowing the compounding effect to work its magic. 

Chart: Illustrative Annual Investment Return. Chart shows the accumulated values of an assumed $10,000 investment at different rates of return over various years invested.  Number of years invested are on the left vertical axis beginning with one year, then five years and every five years up to fifty years. Percentages are on the top horizontal axis ranging from 5% through 10%. 1 year annual return at 5% is $10,500; 6% is $10,600; 7% is $10,700; 8% is $10,800; 9% is $10,900; and 10% is $11,000. 5 year annual return at 5% is $12,763; 6% is $13,382; 7% is $14,026; 8% is $14,693; 9% is $15,386; and 10% is $16,105. 10 year annual return at 5% is $16,289; 6% is $17,908; 7% is $19,672; 8% is $21,589; 9% is $23,674; and 10% is $25,937. 15 year annual return at 5% is $20,789; 6% is $23,966; 7% is $27,590; 8% is $31,722; 9% is $36,425; and 10% is $41,772. 20 year annual return at 5% is $26,533; 6% is $32,071; 7% is $38,697; 8% is $46,610; 9% is $56,044; and 10% is $67,275. 25 year annual return at 5% is $33,864; 6% is $42,919; 7% is $54,274; 8% is $68,485; 9% is $86,231; and 10% is $108,347. 30 year annual return at 5% is $43,219; 6% is $57,435; 7% is $76,123; 8% is $100,627; 9% is $132,677; and 10% is $174,494. 35 year annual return at 5% is $55,160; 6% is $76,861; 7% is $106,766; 8% is $147,853; 9% is $204,140; and 10% is $281,024. 40 year annual return at 5% is $70,400; 6% is $102,857; 7% is $149,745; 8% is $217,245; 9% is $314,094; and 10% is $452,593. 45 year annual return at 5% is $89,850; 6% is $137,646; 7% is $210,025; 8% is $319,204; 9% is $483,273; and 10% is $728,905. 50 year annual return at 5% is $114,674; 6% is $184,202; 7% is $294,570; 8% is $469,016; 9% is $743,575; and 10% is $1,173,909.

A final note, the estimable Albert Einstein understood the power of compounding and famously noted, “Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it … he who doesn’t … pays it.” Perhaps Mick Jagger understands. 

Feel free to share this story with your children, grandkids, friends, and neighbors. We’d be happy to help put time on your, and their side. The sooner we start, the better.

Meet R. Jonathan Stolz, CFA | Portfolio Manager »


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